Another chance for good reasoning

Psychonomic Bulletin & Review

Published in: Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, Volume 24, Issue 6, December 2017, 1995-2002 Abstract “Disagreement on the “probability status” of chances casts doubt on Girotto and Gonzalez’s (2001) conclusion that the human mind can make sound Bayesian inferences involving single-event probabilities. The main objection raised has been that chances are de facto natural frequencies disguised as […]

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